Post-Election Congressional Structure Looking Clearer
It’s getting closer, campers. We’re on the heels of the midterm elections, barely two years removed from the historic election gave us our first African-American president in the Oval Office.
Regardless of what anyone says, Bill Clinton was not the first because...well, there’s that whole thing about him being almost as white as Donny and Marie Osmond.
With less than 25 days until the elections that could tremendously change the balance of power in both the House and Senate, recent projections show that if the Republican Party doesn’t win both houses of Congress, they may come damn close.
According to a Friday Real Clear Politics e-poll, their numbers currently show a virtual toss-up in the Senate. This is nothing short of staggering when you consider how solid the Democratic majority was after the 2008 elections when a filibuster proof majority was realized. Now in less than two years, we’ve gone from Democrats up 60 – 40 to the prospect of dropping 10 seats when you factor in the victory of Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., when he won the seat left by the late Ted Kennedy.
It should be stressed, however, that this would not necessarily mean there would be no majority party. As the Real Clear Politics poll points out, there are two gentlemen in the Senate, Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut and Bernard Sanders of Vermont, that regularly caucus with the Democrats.
Having said that, don’t count Democrats out in their Senate campaigns. While some races are either coin flips or only “leaning” left in states like California and Connecticut...sorry Carly Fiorina and Linda McMahon, but neither of you should really be bothering yourselves with looking for part-time accommodations in D.C. right now. In addition, while Sharron Angle has been running a reasonably effective campaign in Nevada against Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, she should absolutely not rest on her laurels. Mr. “The Surge Has Failed” is very effective at what he does and is more than capable at making up any deficits in the polls before November 2.
Over in the House, of course, it’s been a much different story this election season.
At this time, the Democrats hold a 255 to 178 advantage (with two vacant seats) over the GOP. The results of the Real Clear Politics Saturday House e-poll tell the story of another big change that could be coming with Republicans currently showing a 210 to 186 lead and 39 seats considered toss-ups. Of those 39 toss-ups, 37 are held by Democrats, at least for now.Continued on the next page